reflection - Answers to questions about inuition

Intuition is a strong gut feeling of the happening of an event that is proven right. It is subjective and is a strong assertion in the mind of an individual in the happening of an event.
What is obvious to you may not be obvious to me. We all have different perceptions and parameters of judgement. Let’s take the example of the Brutus and Cassius in the play Julius Caesar. Cassius had a strong gut feeling that the army should stay in their positions and wait for the enemies to attack. He justified his intuition by trying to analyse the psychology of his opponents. His intuition seemed to be proving right and very obvious however Brutus failed to understand it. He advocated the army to descend to Philippines and launch the attack. They both belonged to the same army; Cassius’s predictions were seemingly true. His predictions of the warring of the were already proven right thus his intuition was already half justified beyond doubt, yet Brutus’s impaired judgement came in the way of the right decision.
‘Intuitively obvious’, this phrase startles me. Are we measuring the degree to which we believe in the happening of an event? It is difficult to quantify it, however when the intuition persists for long and maybe they have been proven right in the past then it may be safe to consider it. However we cannot form our beliefs because something is ‘intuitively obvious’. Intuitions are more than often governed by emotions and perceptions. However an intuition should be proven right to qualify it as a belief. For example the Indian prime minister in the 1990’s Mr Vajpayee had a strong gut feeling that he assumed to be’ intuitively obvious’ that the Pakistanis will not attack India. Despite the recurring threats and intelligence information he did not adequately prepare the defence of the country. However he was proven wrong, Pakistan attacked India and the Kargil war took place. Thus we see that his gut feeling was proven wrong. Thus intuitions are often proven wrong and one must not become laid back and base his/her actions on the basis of something that is intuitively obvious.
To make a generalisation that more knowledgeable or successful people would have better intuitions is a bias but I guess that is how human mentality functions. Stock trading is often based on intuitions. The data, stocks availability, future predictions are often based on intuitions. Some broker may just say that “I think the market will fall next summer’ without any justification. Thus if I have to buy shares I will go to amore successful broker rather than an unsuccessful one. Even if the unsuccessful lawyer gives me concrete reasons as to how and why the share price would change and the successful lawyer just says that he feels that this is what will happen I will trust him. This is so because he has become so successful after taking these calculated risks. I assume that he knows how to distinguish when something is intuitively obvious and when it is just a gut feeling.
Thus intuitions are subjective. They are crucial in the development of man. Every scientific discovery first starts with an intuition. However an intuition has to be proven right. Thus we must learn know how to distinguish between gut feelings and intuitions and not reach conclusions without formal proof.